Roddy White is good at football. We all know this. He finished the regular season with 115 receptions and 1,389 yards, both Falcons records. He's headed to his third straight Pro Bowl (though I hope he can decline the invitation since Super Bowl participants are exempt from participating) and since 2007 only four players have more catches than White.
How important is he to this team? We can get an idea of his value when we compare the percentage of completions he was responsible for in any given season. For example, in his rookie season he hauled in 29 passes. The team completed 247 so White was responsible for 11.7 percent. The following chart shows White's progress since his rookie season.
This season, White led the league by pulling in 31.9 percent of his team's passes. He barely edged out Larry Fitzgerald who finished second with 31.6 percent. The most balanced passing attack (if you can call it that) belonged to the Tennessee Titans who were led by Chris Johnson's 44 receptions or 16.1 percent of the team's total. The full chart and further analysis, after the jump.
Player | |||
Roddy White | |||
Larry Fitzgerald | |||
Steve Johnson | |||
Santana Moss | |||
Dwayne Bowe | |||
Wes Welker | |||
Brandon Marshall | |||
Jason Witten | |||
Reggie Wayne | |||
Danny Amendola | |||
Andre Johnson | |||
Hakeem Nicks | |||
Percy Harvin | |||
Brandon Lloyd | |||
Ben Watson | |||
Mike Thomas | |||
LeSean McCoy | |||
Greg Jennings | |||
Kellen Winslow Jr. | |||
Zach Miller | |||
Anquan Boldin | |||
Mike Wallace | |||
Calvin Johnson | |||
Mike Williams (Sea) | |||
Vernon Davis | |||
Terrell Owens | |||
Dustin Keller | |||
Marques Colston | |||
Matt Forte/Johnny Knox | |||
Steve Smith | |||
Darren Sproles | |||
Chris Johnson |
White's 2010 season was remarkable but because the team passed more than they have since 1995, his 2008 season is actually still more impressive. That year, the team only completed 265 passes but he caught 88 of them (33.2 percent). Over his career, White has caught 24.4 percent of the Falcons completions and since 2007 only Wes Welker has accounted for a higher percentage of his team's completions (29.5 to 28.7 percent).
This can be both a good thing and a bad thing. It's good because White is near unstoppable and Matt Ryan has been able to find him on a consistent basis especially when a big play is needed. It's bad because with the Falcons so dependent on White, a team with the mind to do so could focus their entire defense on him and limit his effectiveness. Now that doesn't happen very often and White did get 100 yards or a touchdown in 10 of the 16 games this season.
Looking at the playoff teams, eight of the 12 teams are in the bottom half of the chart meaning their leading receiving accounts for, at most, 22.6 percent of the team's completions. Only four teams were overly dependent on one player; the Falcons (White), Chiefs (Dwayne Bowe), Patriots (Welker) and Colts (Reggie Wayne). The Pats and Falcons are their conferences No. 1 seed so this could be misleading but it's worth noting. The Bears in the NFC and the Jets in the AFC have the most balanced passing attacks among playoff teams.
Since realignment in 2002, there have been eight Super Bowl champions. On average, the No. 1 receiver on those eight teams accounted for 22.7 percent of the total completions. Only once, in 2005, did a player account for more than 30 percent (Hines Ward). I'll concede this could all be arbitrary but if the Falcons win the Super Bowl, White will have accounted a higher percentage of his team's completions than any other champion in the last nine seasons.