As we've seen on a few occasions this season the betting community don't have a lot of faith in the Atlanta Falcons. Following their close win over Seattle (which failed to cover the spread) pundits aren't willing to put much faith in Atlanta to beat the defending champion Green Bay Packers this weekend.
Despite being at home in the Georgia Dome the Falcons are getting seven points in this game. Aaron Rodgers has the Packers offense clicking, and is on pace for a legendary season as he's thrown for 12 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions through four games. However, that doesn't mean the Packers are infallible, thus far they've struggled at reliably covering the tight end position and with Tony Gonzalez that could be a prelude to a big game from the veteran.
Neither team has had trouble scoring so the over/under of 53.5 could easily be met. With the quarterbacks and receivers slated to start this week there's little doubt this game could become a shootout. I expect rookie WR Julio Jones to have a big day.
This is a very curious game to try and predict. Thus far the Atlanta Falcons have been a team to rise and fall to their opponent's skill level. When the chips were down they lifted their game for a big win over Philadelphia, but last week they had an unusually hard time dealing with the Seattle Seahawks. Similarly, the Packers' 4-0 record is definitely encouraging for Green Bay fans, but there are occasions the Packers have had some issues on defense. Look no further than week two's game against Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers in which the Packers gave up over 500 yards of total offense and only managed to win by seven points.
Ultimately I'm not sure the Falcons get the win outright this week, but I definitely think they cover the spread. I don't think the Packers will come to Atlanta and win by more than a touchdown.