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SEC College Football Picks, Week 11: Georgia-Auburn, South Carolina-Florida, Mississippi St.-Alabama

Georgia Bulldogs at No. 2 Auburn Tigers: Last we heard, Auburn was a 7-point favorite at home against Georgia. Cam Newton madness has driven that line down from 9.5, which in itself would’ve been a surprising line. If the game were being played in Athens, the line would’ve started at 3.5 and likely ended up as a pick ‘em — even though we’re talking about a 5-5 team against quite possibly the nation’s best. Until today, I would’ve taken Georgia and the points, especially considering how strong they’ve been in Auburn. But if you can find anywhere still offering this line, take Auburn. If Newton plays, there’s no reason they can’t beat Georgia by a touchdown. If he doesn’t play, hedge it up at game time.

No. 23 South Carolina Gamecocks at No. 22 Florida Gators: This one opened with the Gators favored by 4.5, but now it’s up to 6.5. Huge swing, especially for a home team organizing a this-never-goes-well color-out. Do you really want to bet on Stephen Garcia in the Swamp, where the Cocks haven’t won since they joined the SEC? Well, Steve Spurrier says, “Please don’t listen to Stephen,” so take Carolina plus the points.

No. 19 Mississippi St. Bulldogs at No. 12 Alabama Crimson Tide: The Dawgs are very good, but overrated. Their best win was a 10-7 squeaker over a Gators team that hadn’t installed its offense yet, and their best game might’ve been their three-point home loss to Auburn. If the LSU Tigers can beat Missy State by 22 and the Tide can’t do it by 14, Nick Saban will you know the rest.

Photographs by coka_koehler used in background montage under Creative Commons. Thank you.