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Atomic Football (People Who Claim To Be Really Smart) Tell Us How Our Football Teams' Seasons Will Play Out

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Atomic Football uses a lot of (presumably) complex algorithms to predict the college football season.  The site claims to be home to "the most accurate college football predictions outside of the Las Vegas oddsmakers."  They go on to complain about how all football prediction algorithms use a strength of schedule "knob" while theirs uses, uh, well something smarter.  If you went to Georgia Tech you can read about the nuances of their system here

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The predictions have been updated to take into account this past weekends results so let's take a look at what is in store for the remainder of our teams' seasons.  

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Georgia Bulldogs - 6-6 (3-5)

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Despite starting the season 1-3, is there any chance the Bulldogs can turn this season around?  Well the machines believe all is not lost.  Atomic Football's algorithms predict UGA to go 5-3 for the remainder of the season, including a four-game winning streak starting this Saturday at Colorado.

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Additionally, UGA will take down GT 28-27 in a thriller between the hedges.  But hey, this is all based on mathematicians and their magical formulas, so there must be some GT bias in the formula somewhere.  If we discount the formula for the obvious GT bias, it looks more like 28-7, Dawgs. 

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In the end, the Dawgs are predicted to end the season 6-6 overall and 3-5 in the SEC.  But of course there is a 0.5% chance the team wins out!

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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - 7-5 (5-3)

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After losing to N.C. State this weekend and falling to 2-2 on the season, the cyborgs predict the Yellow Jackets will also begin a four-game winning streak this weekend.  This streak will include a nail biting 29-28 victory at Clemson.  Virginia Tech and Miami will dominate the home town team, before GT picks up its last victory of the regular season, beating Duke 47-25.  Not suprisingly, the defense will not improve much.  Middle Tennessee State will put up 19 on the Jackets and every other team will put up even more.  I hope Al Groh can find a better supermarket before next season.

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As noted above, the Jackets will get tripped up between the hedges and end the season 7-5 overall and 5-3 in the ACC.  On a positive note, Tech has twice the chance to win out than does UGA!  That's right, a 1.0% chance!

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Georgia State Panthers - 6-5

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You heard it hear first, Georgia State will definitely finish its first season with a winning record!  After starting out 2-2 and consistently playing to the level of its opponents, the Panthers will end the season 6-5.  In fact, this past weekend's victory over Campbell was just the beginning of the Panthers' own four-game winning streak (all over FCS opponents!).

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The biggest news to come out of Atomic Football's predictions for GSU is that the Panthers WILL NOT LOSE BY TRIPLE DIGITS TO ALABAMA.  GSU is predicted to finish its season with (only) a 57-0 loss to the Crimson Tide.  But who knows, they do have a 0.1% chance of winning (I guess those algorythms have some GSU bias too). 

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Additionally, if Georgia State had the opportunity to play the remainder of its season 1,000 times, it would win out one of those times!

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Georgia Southern Eagles - 8-3 (6-2)

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The Eagles will take the crown for the team with the best 2010 regular season record out of the major (and not quite as major) college football teams in the state of Georgia.  Their current two-game winning streak will expand to six and they will finish the season 8-3 overall and 6-2 in the Southern Conference.  In fact, the Eagles even have a 4.2% chance of winning out the rest of the season. 

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How about that?

Photographs by coka_koehler used in background montage under Creative Commons. Thank you.