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NCAA Tournament 2011 Pick: Florida State Vs. Texas A&M

The No. 10 Florida St. Seminoles get the No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies at about 4 pm on March 18 in the 2011 NCAA Tournament‘s Southwest region. We’ll have a post up in just a little bit running down the computer predictions and projections for March Madness, but let me put it this way — the machines really like FSU in this game.

Ken Pomeroy favors FSU by a slight margin, as does Kenneth Massey, and Joel Sokol, and the New York Times’ FiveThirtyEight formula picks FSU as one of its very few first (“second”!) round upsets.

So why didn’t FSU earn a higher seed? Well, they lost to Auburn. It’s more complicated than that, and they had some good wins and close losses, but they lost to Auburn. You can throw all the math at me you want, but it’s pretty hard to pick a team that lost to Auburn.

And the Aggies don’t really have any bad losses other than their three-time flattening beneath the hooves of Texas and maybe a home overtime loss to Baylor. I picked FSU in my own bracket, but it’s hard not to wonder about the computers here.

For more on this game, join I Am The 12th Man and Tomahawk Nation. For more March Madness, visit SB Nation’s NCAA Basketball hub.

Photographs by coka_koehler used in background montage under Creative Commons. Thank you.